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Mobile Broadband Driving Vietnam’s Internet Growth
After peaking in 2009 Vietnam’s fixed line market in Vietnam has seen a significant decline. Market penetration has fallen from 20.1% in 2009 to 10.5% in 2012 and 5.7% in 2016.
In the meantime, having come late to the internet, Vietnam is finally embracing the higher access speeds offered by the various broadband platforms. Although there has been a surge in subscriber numbers, fixed broadband remains a relatively small but expanding market segment. Most significantly, the arrival of mobile broadband has seen widespread access to faster internet speeds.
Vietnam’s mobile market has grown strongly over the last decade, evidence that the competition model the government has put in place, although with some limitations, has been working. At the same time, demand for new mobile services appeared to have dropped and growth had generally slowed. There has been a gradual shift to value added services, with the arrival of 3G and 3G+ and ahead of the launch of 4G.
The highly competitive nature of Vietnam’s mobile segment is due in no small part to it being opened up to new players, importantly including some with no involvement of the state-owned VNPT. As with most other Asian mobile markets, growth in Vietnam was boosted by the early introduction of prepaid mobile services and prepaid remains a vital component of the business today.
Viettel is the largest mobile operator in Vietnam with over 40% market share, followed by MobiFone VTNL-Vinaphone and Vietnamobile. The Vietnamese mobile market has shown moderate growth over the past few years, increasing from mobile penetration of 135% in 2013 to 147% in 2016. However over the past two years the market has reached a saturation point, as mobile growth slow significantly. Further slow growth is expected to continue over the next five years to 2021. By that time penetration is expected to reach over 150%.
The initial roll-out of fixed broadband services win Vietnam as followed by a strong surge in growth; however, broadband remained a small but expanding market segment. It needed a stronger market focus by the providers; this seemed to have finally happened with the arrival of mobile broadband. As with other developing markets in Asia, there has been major shift in Vietnam’s broadband market with the widespread adoption of mobile broadband, with lower tariffs, ready availability and the convenience of mobility being the big attractions. Mobile broadband has been growing strongly in Vietnam over the past five years. Penetration has increased from 14% in 2011 to 31% in 2014 and 43% in 2016. Further strong growth is predicted over the next five years to 2021.
The fixed broadband subscriber market in Vietnam has been growing moderately over the past few years from a relatively small base. Penetration has increased from 6% in 2013 to 8% in 2015 and 9% in 2016. Fixed broadband penetration is predicted to grow moderately over the next five years, reaching between 14% and 17% by 2021.
Incumbent operator VNPT has been leading Vietnam’s charge into the broadband market. It has doing this largely as part of its Next Generation Network (NGN) development.
In the meantime, the digital economy in Vietnam has been flourishing, although its reach may not be as great as government policy would wish. The government has been the driving force behind the country’s move into the age of the digital economy. It has been constantly emphasising the need to use e-commerce to improve the country’s economic competitiveness. The government has also been particularly active in the development of cyber laws, no doubt because of its deeply ingrained political culture of central control. On another related front, Vietnam is moving quickly towards the digitalisation of TV broadcasting. A strategy plan for conversion to digital TV should see the country’s television stations broadcasting completely digital by 2020.
Key developments:
Vietnam’s broadband market is growing strongly, on the back of the mobile broadband sector;
fibre-based broadband subscribers continue to grow strongly.
The MIC has set 2017 as the target date for introducing Mobile Number Portability (MNP).
Viettel Telecom announced plans to launch its 4G LTE network.
Vietnamobile, announced plans to expand the coverage of its 3G network nationwide.
after a long period of low fixed broadband penetration, the market has started to grow strongly;
most significantly, fibre-based broadband (FttH) subscribers have been growing rapidly;
DSL technology continues to support the majority of fixed broadband services;
the MIC issued a set of digital TV standards ahead of the planned digitalisation.
Companies mentioned in this report:
VNPT; Vinaphone; Mobifone; Viettel; S-Fone; Viettel; Vietnamobile
Table of contents
1. Key statistics
1.1 Country Overview
1.1.1 Background
1.1.2 World Trade Organization (WTO)
2. Telecommunications market
2.1 Recent developments
2.2 Historical Overview
2.3 Market analysis
2.3.1 Mobile operators
2.3.2 Foreign investment
2.3.3 The government’s role
3. Regulatory environment
3.1 Historical overview
3.2 Regulatory authority
3.2.1 Ministry of Information and Communications (MIC)
3.2.2 Viet Nam Telecommunications Authority (VNTA)
3.3 Government policies
3.3.1 Liberalisation
3.3.2 Privatisation of state-owned enterprises: VNPT
3.3.3 Decree limiting shares in telecom companies
3.4 Telecom licences
3.5 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
4. Competition issues
5. Fixed network operators
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Vietnam Post & Telecommunications (VNPT)
5.2.1 Overview
5.2.2 Statistics
5.3 Viettel
5.4 FPT Telecom
5.5 GTel
6. Telecommunications infrastructure
6.1 National telecom network
6.1.1 Overview
6.1.2 Statistics
6.1.3 Forecasts fixed-line subscribers 2016; 2017; 2020
6.2 New developments
6.2.1 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)
6.2.2 Proposed Samsung investment
6.3 International infrastructure
6.3.1 Background to development
6.3.2 Statistics
6.3.3 Submarine cable networks
6.3.4 Satellite networks
7. Broadband market
7.1 Introduction and statistical overview
7.1.1 Market overview and Analysis
7.1.2 Broadband Development Plan
7.1.3 Statistics
7.1.4 Forecasts fixed broadband subscribers 2016 – 2018; 2021
7.1.5 Government control
7.1.6 Vietnam Internet Network Information Center (VNNIC)
7.1.7 Vietnam National Internet eXchange (VNIX)
7.1.8 IPv6 v. IPv4
7.2 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL)
7.2.1 Introduction
7.2.2 Service providers
7.3 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)
7.3.1 Introduction
7.3.2 Service providers
7.4 Other fixed broadband services
7.4.1 Fixed wireless broadband
7.4.2 WiFi
7.4.3 WiMAX
7.4.4 Cable modem
7.4.5 Satellite internet
8. Digital media
8.1 Introduction
8.1.1 Cloud services
8.1.2 VTVcab
8.2 Digitalisation
8.3 Pay TV
8.4 Videostreaming
8.5 Social Media
8.5.1 Introduction
8.6 Media tablets
8.7 Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)
9. Digital economy
9.1 Introduction
9.1.1 E-Commerce Development Master Plan 2011- 2015
9.2 E-Commerce
9.2.1 Overview
9.3 E-Government
9.3.1 Overview
9.4 E-Health
9.4.1 E-Medicine
9.4.2 Vaccination management
9.5 E-Education
9.5.1 E-Learning
9.6 Technology parks/focus areas
10. Mobile communications
10.1 Market overview and analysis
10.2 Mobile Statistics
10.2.1 Operational
10.2.2 Financials
10.2.3 Forecasts mobile services 2016; 2018; 2021
10.2.4 Mobile Data
10.2.5 Mobile Broadband Statistics
10.3 Regulatory Issues
10.3.1 Numbering
10.3.2 Registration of prepaid services/SIM cards
10.3.3 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
10.4 Mobile infrastructure
10.4.1 Digital networks
10.5 Major Mobile Operators
10.5.1 Overview
10.5.2 Statistics
10.5.3 International
10.5.4 VNPT
10.5.5 MobiFone
10.5.6 VNPT-Vinaphone
10.5.7 Viettel
10.5.8 Vietnamobile
10.5.9 GTel Mobile / Gmobile (formerly Beeline)
10.5.10 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
10.6 Mobile Content and Applications
10.6.1 M-Commerce
10.6.2 M-Banking
10.6.3 Mobile Apps
10.6.4 Other m-content
10.7 Mobile Handsets
Table 1 Country statistics Vietnam 2016
Table 2 Telephone network statistics 2016
Table 3 Internet user statistics 2016
Table 4 Broadband statistics 2016
Table 5 Mobile statistics 2016
Table 6 National telecommunications authorities
Table 7 Historical – Fixed-line subscribers and market share by operator 2011
Table 8 Historical – VNPT fixed-line subscribers and penetration 2000 2005
Table 9 VNPT fixed-line subscribers and penetration 2006 2016
Table 10 Historical – Fixed line subscribers, annual change and penetration 1990 2004
Table 11 Fixed line subscribers, annual change and penetration 2005 2016
Table 12 Forecast fixed line subscribers and penetration rates 2016 – 2017; 2020
Table 13 Total international internet bandwidth 2003 – 2016
Table 14 Fixed broadband subscribers 2003 – 2016
Table 15 Historical – Internet users and penetration 1998 – 2005
Table 16 Internet users and penetration 2006 – 2016
Table 17 Historical – Fixed internet subscribers 1998 – 2015
Table 18 Households with internet access 2005 – 2016
Table 19 Forecast fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rates 2016 – 2018; 2021
Table 20 Fixed broadband DSL subscribers 2003 – 2016
Table 21 Historic – DSL subscribers and market share by provider 2014
Table 22 VNPT/VDC fixed broadband subscribers 2008 – 2016
Table 23 VNPT fixed broadband subscribers 2009 2016
Table 24 Viettel’s DSL subscribers 2007 – 2016
Table 25 FttH subscribers 2008 – 2016
Table 26 Historic – FttH subscribers and market share by provider 2014
Table 27 Viettel’s FttX subscribers 2014 – 2016
Table 28 Key broadcasting statistics
Table 29 MyTV – subscribers 2013 – 2015
Table 30 Facebook users and penetration 2012; 2015
Table 31 Internet users and penetration 2006 – 2016
Table 32 Vietnam B2C e-commerce sales indicators
Table 33 Historical – mobile subscribers 1995 – 2005
Table 34 Mobile subscribers 2006 – 2016
Table 35 Total 3G mobile subscribers 2012 – 2015
Table 36 Mobile services revenue 2003 – 2016
Table 37 Mobile services sector estimated ARPU 1998 – 2016
Table 38 Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 39 Total international internet bandwidth 2003 – 2016
Table 40 Mobile broadband subscribers 2010 2016
Table 41 Total 3G mobile subscribers 2012 – 2015
Table 42 Mobile operators networks
Table 43 Mobile subscribers and market share by operator – 2016
Table 44 Historic – Mobile subscribers and market share by operator – 2014
Table 45 Historical – VNPT subscribers 1998 2014
Table 46 MobiFone subscribers 1998 – 2016
Table 47 VNPT – Vinaphone subscribers 1998 – 2016
Table 48 Viettel subscribers 2004 – 2016
Table 49 Historical – HT Mobile (CDMA) subscribers 2006 – 2009
Table 50 Vietnamobile (GSM) subscribers 2009 – 2016
Table 51 Historic – Gmobile (Beeline) subscribers 2009 – 2015
Chart 1 – Fixed line subscribers and penetration – 2005 – 2016
Chart 2 Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration 2005 – 2016
Chart 3 Internet users and penetration 2006 – 2016
Chart 4 Mobile subscribers and annual change 2006 – 2016
Exhibit 1 Vietnam – ICT Development Index
Exhibit 2 MIC’s assigned policy and regulatory responsibilities
Exhibit 3 Vietnam’s Cyber Law legislative instruments
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